Ahead of many recessions in US economic history, the yield curve has gone negative - or "inverted." Now that it appears growth could pick back up at the same time the Fed could start cutting rates, we ...
The long-term peak in forward rates for U.S. Treasury exceeds the near-term peak, indicating a step toward normal yields. The streak of negative 2-year/10-year Treasury spreads has reached 292 trading ...
Later in this article, I will display a chart revealing a consistent pattern of when a recession is most likely to begin. From a trader's viewpoint, pattern recognition is essential for successful ...
Much has been made about an impending recession. The reasons, however, are seldom discussed, are even less understood, and do little to inform what actions investors should take (if any). Economists ...